Sturgis Super Spreader Event Update

A detailed look at the spread of the Corona Virus after the Sturgis Super Spreader Event

Blog Post Date: Sep 30th, 2020

Blog Post Updated: Nov 13th, 2020

This is a continuation of the previous blog post that explored the spread of the Corona Virus during / after the Super Spreader events

Old Sturgis Blog Post

Here you can see the cases / deaths at Sturgis (Meade county) and the 4 neighboring counties (Butte, Custer, Lawrence, Pennington) at the Data analytics site and you can see the daily changes.

https://corona-virus.dev/app/reports/cvus/cvuSuperSpreaders

Cases and Deaths Snapshot on Sep 29th: Total cases in the 5 counties have gone up about 250% since the Sturgis rally

County Total Cases Total Deaths Cases This Week Last Week 2 Weeks Ago Deaths This week Last Week
Butte 106 3 29 12 7 2 0
Custer 186 2 11 20 17 0 0
Lawrence 418 5 76 52 26 1 0
Meade 548 5 73 70 59 1 1
Pennington 2365 37 324 200 199 2 2
Total 3623 52 513 354 308 6 3

Cases and Deaths Snapshot on Aug 28th: You can see 100% to 350% weekly growth in cases in all 5 counties compared to the snapshot on Aug 9th

County Total Cases Total Deaths Cases This Week Last Week 2 Weeks Ago Deaths This week Last Week
Butte 41 1 19 4 4 0 0
Custer 104 0 46 22 10 0 0
Lawrence 171 2 88 17 25 1 1
Meade 247 1 120 6 20 0 0
Pennington 1211 33 236 49 63 0 1
Total 1774 37 509 136 104 1 2

Cases and Deaths Snapshot on Aug 9th

County Total Cases Total Deaths Cases This Week Last Week 2 Weeks Ago Deaths This week Last Week
Butte 17 1 6 3 3 0 0
Custer 35 0 12 12 0 0 0
Lawrence 55 0 25 25 3 0 0
Meade 94 1 20 20 7 0 0
Pennington 891 32 65 65 58 3 3
Total 1092 34 128 125 71 3 3

How far did this spread from South Dakota?

South Dakota and all its neighboring states have seen a surge in COVID cases - Nebraska, Wyoming, Montana, North Dakota, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Kansas, Iowa etc., all keep breaking its cases records every few days. It is very difficult to know exactly how much of the spread in all these states is a direct result of Sturgis. But that rally certainly played a huge part in the spread.

South_Dakota_Map
South_Dakota_Map

Nov 13th Update (minor)

SD and its Neighboring Midwestern and western states are setting cases records almost on a daily basis.

Most of these states are at 100% ICU Capacity

You can see the progression of the cases and deaths records here for each of the Midwest States and the West States.

Worst performing states by cases per million (CPM)

  • The worst 12 states are all Red states; 18 of the worst 20 are Red states
  • Only 2 of the top 20 are blue states - NV and NY
  • The Sturgis effect can be seen here - SD and some of its neighboring states or states close by have surged into the top 15.
  • SD, ND are the two worst states by CPM;

Case and Death Patterns by State

https://corona-virus.dev/app/reports/cvus/cvupattern

States with Highest Cases Per Million
States with Highest Cases Per Million

Worst performing states by 2 weeks case growth

  • Lists all states with a 45% or higher case growth
  • 7 Blue states and 8 Red states (most of the red states are here because of the Sturgis effect - WY, MT, UT, WI, SD, ID, KS)

States with Highest 2 week case growth
States with Highest 2 week case growth

Worst performing states by 4 weeks case growth

  • Lists all states with a 100% or higher case growth
  • 1 Blue state and 4 Red states (all 4 red states are here because of the Sturgis effect)

States with Highest 4 week case growth
States with Highest 4 week case growth

Sep 24th: SD has just set new records in the number of people hospitalized, new cases, & overall active cases.

With a 36% spike in COVID-19 hospitalizations in the last week, the state now has the highest per-capita rate of hospitalizations in the US.

Sep 28th: WI, WY, ND, SD all have record hospitalizations

Wisconsin hospitalizations set new records 7 days in a row last week.

South Dakota’s hospitalizations set records 6 of the last 7 days.

Wyoming and North Dakota also had record numbers of COVID-19 hospitalizations last week.